Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.179807 0.202546 0.226473 0.253471 0.283030 0.314354 0.349999
2025-04-27 0.153986 0.185405 0.220214 0.261444 0.308745 0.361108 0.423246
2025-05-04 0.132041 0.168619 0.211008 0.263343 0.325780 0.397427 0.485377
2025-05-11 0.117278 0.157857 0.206789 0.269420 0.346676 0.438044 0.553390
2025-05-18 0.106000 0.149700 0.204325 0.276521 0.368221 0.479537 0.623471
2025-05-25 0.093149 0.137919 0.195876 0.274872 0.378028 0.506344 0.675974
2025-06-01 0.082951 0.128423 0.189249 0.274542 0.388765 0.534002 0.729826
2025-06-08 0.074104 0.119767 0.182795 0.273571 0.398030 0.559517 0.781216
2025-06-15 0.068694 0.115394 0.181672 0.279401 0.416160 0.596729 0.848476
2025-06-22 0.062250 0.108799 0.176767 0.279394 0.425964 0.622854 0.901543
2025-06-29 0.056515 0.102686 0.171987 0.279036 0.434915 0.647743 0.953291
2025-07-06 0.051436 0.097083 0.167462 0.278583 0.443409 0.671941 1.004430
2025-07-13 0.047615 0.093287 0.165565 0.282114 0.458064 0.705594 1.070261
2025-07-20 0.045061 0.091361 0.166395 0.289710 0.478833 0.748359 1.149847
2025-07-27 0.041464 0.087264 0.163421 0.291158 0.490370 0.778174 1.211894
2025-08-03 0.039144 0.085199 0.163566 0.297401 0.509219 0.818905 1.290334
2025-08-10 0.037247 0.083716 0.164527 0.304895 0.530124 0.863075 1.374657
2025-08-17 0.033908 0.079168 0.159924 0.302999 0.536250 0.885474 1.427811
2025-08-24 0.031127 0.075407 0.156386 0.302580 0.544521 0.911104 1.486092
2025-08-31 0.028508 0.071684 0.152620 0.301496 0.551545 0.934868 1.541977
2025-09-07 0.027150 0.070416 0.153188 0.307785 0.570578 0.977256 1.626396
2025-09-14 0.025062 0.067376 0.150252 0.307766 0.579190 1.003725 1.687336
2025-09-21 0.023108 0.064411 0.147227 0.307373 0.587060 1.029104 1.747022